Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin TiranteMontreal Round of 16

Montreal · ATP · Round of 16
#12ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#50ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWL
Tien L.
6-4 6-4
Tirante T.
Tien L.
662
Tirante T.
440

Learner Tien advanced to the quarterfinals of the Montreal tournament with a 6-4, 6-4 victory over Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Round of 16. Tien converted 33% of his break points and won four service breaks, compared to Tirante's two service breaks and 20% break point conversion rate. Tien hit two aces to Tirante's seven, and both players committed one double fault.

Key context

  • Match story: Learner Tien edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
8.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
39
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
75
Break points won·Dominant
88
15
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Tien L.73%
Tirante T.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tien L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.4+268 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1636
7.5Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
53

Tien L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Tirante T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw