Gabriele Piraino vs Petr NesterovPlovdiv 2 Final

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Final
#321ATP
1254ELO
1248Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
#301ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Piraino G.
6-1 7-6
Nesterov P.
Piraino G.
672
Nesterov P.
160

Gabriele Piraino won the final of the Plovdiv 2 tournament, defeating Petr Nesterov 6-1, 7-6 on clay. Piraino hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 59% of first-serve points and converting 75% of break points. Nesterov had 0 aces and 3 double faults, winning 55% of first-serve points and converting 80% of break points; he had 4 service breaks to Piraino's 6.

Key context

  • Match story: Gabriele Piraino came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Piraino G.37%
Nesterov P.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nesterov P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1248
Surface ELO
7.0+162 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1254
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1456
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
91

Piraino G.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d) · Nesterov P.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw