Shunsuke Mitsui vs D. Zhalgasbay — M15 Astana 2 Final
M15 Astana 2 · ITF · Final
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
KAZD. Zhalgasbay
#1527ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Mitsui S.7-5 6-2
Zhalgasbay D.
Mitsui S.
762
Zhalgasbay D.
520
Shunsuke Mitsui won the M15 Astana 2 final, defeating D. Zhalgasbay 7-5, 6-2. Mitsui hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, winning 74% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. He secured 4 service breaks to Zhalgasbay's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Shunsuke Mitsui closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonMitsui S.Zhalgasbay D.
1st serve in·
56%
—
1st serve points won·
78%
—
2nd serve points won·
55%
—
Service points won·
68%
—
Return points won·
35%
—
Break points saved·
63%
—
Aces / match·
4.8
—
Double faults / match·
2.0
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTCMitsui S.69%
Zhalgasbay D.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Mitsui S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchZhalgasbay D.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.0
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 50%