Alina Korneeva vs Coco GauffToronto Round of 16

Toronto · WTA · Round of 16
#75WTA
1725ELO
1718Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Korneeva A.
3-6 1-6
Gauff C.
Korneeva A.
310
Gauff C.
662

Coco Gauff defeated Alina Korneeva 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the Toronto tournament. Gauff served 3 aces and committed 3 double faults, while Korneeva had no aces and 5 double faults. Gauff converted 58% of her break points and won 7 service breaks to Korneeva's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
49%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.5
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Korneeva A.21%
Gauff C.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gauff C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1718
Surface ELO
9.0+317 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1724
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2071
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
61

Korneeva A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw