Gabriele Maria Noce vs Lorenzo Carboni — Todi Q32
ITAQ
Maria Noce G.Lorenzo Carboni defeated Gabriele Maria Noce in the semifinals of the Todi tournament on clay, prevailing 6-1, 4-6, 7-6. Carboni hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while Noce had 1 ace and 9 double faults. Carboni converted 55% of his break points and broke Noce's serve 6 times, compared to Noce's 4 breaks and 50% conversion rate.
Key context
- Match story: Lorenzo Carboni came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Carboni L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMaria Noce G.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carboni L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About