Niklas Guttau vs Nikolai Barsukov

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Q32

GERWC

Niklas Guttau

#1054ATP

26 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLWLWWWLW

2 — 1

Sets

Sunday, 9 August 2026 · 14:10

clay

M1 · 3rd on

GER12

Nikolai Barsukov

#697ATP

19 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLWWLWWL

Guttau N.

6-7 7-5 6-3

Barsukov N.

Guttau N.

6762

Barsukov N.

7531

Niklas Guttau defeated Nikolai Barsukov in a qualifying second-round match at the Hamburg clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 in favor of Guttau. This win advanced Guttau in the qualifying draw.

Key context

Match story: Niklas Guttau dropped the opening set before beating Nikolai Barsukov 6–7 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Guttau N.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Barsukov N.

Barsukov N.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Guttau N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Guttau N.Barsukov N.

1st serve in·Slight edge

68%

58%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

61%

74%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

57%

46%

Service points won·Even

60%

62%

Return points won·Even

43%

39%

Break points saved·Even

55%

59%

Aces / match·Dominant

1.4

5.1

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.0

3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC

Guttau N.47%

Barsukov N.53%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Guttau N.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Barsukov N.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

1.01 of last 9 on clay

Surface form

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Guttau N.Barsukov N.

Freshness·Even

Guttau N.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Barsukov N.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather

27°CMainly clear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 38%

Niklas Guttau vs Nikolai Barsukov — Hamburg Q32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return