Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida AguilarMontreal Round of 16

Montreal · ATP · Round of 16
#56ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#40ATP
1744ELO
1676Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Griekspoor T.
3-6 1-6
Merida Aguilar D.
Griekspoor T.
310
Merida Aguilar D.
662

Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the Round of 16 at the Montreal tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-1 in favor of Merida Aguilar.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
62
55
Break points saved·Dominant
98
64
Break points won·Dominant
9
46
Deciding sets·Even
89
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Griekspoor T.53%
Merida Aguilar D.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+101 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1676
5.6Overall Elo 1789
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
65

Griekspoor T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw