Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Rina SaigoW75 Ourense Semi-final

W75 Ourense · ITF · Semi-final
#450WTA
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
#274WTA
1307ELO
1293Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
Zhiyenbayeva S.
6-1 7-6
Saigo R.
Zhiyenbayeva S.
672
Saigo R.
160

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva defeated Rina Saigo 6-1, 7-6 in the semifinals of the W75 Ourense tournament. Zhiyenbayeva hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 76 percent of her first serves and converting 50 percent of her break points. She won 4 service breaks to Saigo's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
39%
42%
Service points won·Even
48%
51%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Zhiyenbayeva S.31%
Saigo R.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Saigo R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.23 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw