Carol Young Suh Lee vs Gabriela Andrea KnutsonWarsaw Final

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Final
#140WTA
1542ELO
1546Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
#186WTA
1518ELO
1467Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Young Suh Lee C.
6-4 7-5
Andrea Knutson G.
Young Suh Lee C.
672
Andrea Knutson G.
450

Carol Young Suh Lee won the final of the Warsaw hard-court tournament, defeating Gabriela Andrea Knutson 6-4, 7-5. Lee converted 57% of her break points and secured four service breaks, while Knutson converted 50% of her break points and secured two service breaks. Lee hit two aces and two double faults, compared to two aces and seven double faults for Knutson.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-09W50 Ourense 1SFhardCarol Young Suh Lee2-6 6-3 7-6(1)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
53
Break points saved·Even
80
80
Break points won·Clear edge
92
69
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
81
Tiebreaks·
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Young Suh Lee C.65%
Andrea Knutson G.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Young Suh Lee C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+79 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1467
5.3Overall Elo 1542
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1518
5.7Leads 2–1 on hard
H2H
4.3Trails 1–2 on hard
9.09 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
90

Young Suh Lee C.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Andrea Knutson G.: 10 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw