Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil GlinkaGrodzisk Mazowiecki Semi-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#189ATP
1545ELO
1393Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#160ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
$131kYTD
$268kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWLL
Guerrieri A.
0-6 6-3 6-4
Glinka D.
Guerrieri A.
0662
Glinka D.
6341

Andrea Guerrieri defeated Daniil Glinka in the semifinals of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki tournament, coming back from a set down to win 0-6, 6-3, 6-4. Guerrieri hit one ace and two double faults, winning 60 percent of first-serve points and converting 43 percent of break points. Glinka had 14 aces and three double faults, winning 73 percent of first-serve points and converting 57 percent of break points; he also had four service breaks to Guerrieri's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
23
Break points saved·Even
80
82
Break points won·Dominant
40
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
84
6
Tiebreaks·
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Guerrieri A.54%
Glinka D.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1393
Surface ELO
6.2+98 Hard Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
55
90

Guerrieri A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Glinka D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw