Antoine Ghibaudo vs Ilia Simakin — Istanbul 2 Semi-final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
FRA
Antoine Ghibaudo
#341ATP
1475ELO
1402Hard ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
RUS7
Ilia Simakin
#267ATP
1463ELO
1505Hard ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
Ghibaudo A.
6-7 6-7
Simakin I.
Ghibaudo A.
660
Simakin I.
772

Ilia Simakin defeated Antoine Ghibaudo in the semifinals of the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. The match was won in straight sets, 7-6, 7-6. Simakin advanced to the final with the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ghibaudo A.Simakin I.
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Ghibaudo A.35%
Simakin I.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Simakin I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ghibaudo A.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Simakin I.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1402
Surface ELO
6.3+102 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1463
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ghibaudo A.Simakin I.
Freshness·Even
93
90

Ghibaudo A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Simakin I.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw