Edas Butvilas vs Dusan LajovicLexington Semi-final

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#204ATP
1544ELO
1499Hard ELO
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 2 · 1st on
#146ATP
1620ELO
1559Hard ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLL
Butvilas E.
6-2 6-7 6-2
Lajovic D.
Butvilas E.
6662
Lajovic D.
2721

Edas Butvilas defeated Dusan Lajovic in the semifinals of the Lexington hard-court tournament, winning 6-2, 6-7, 6-2. Butvilas hit 9 aces to Lajovic's 4 and converted 5 service breaks to Lajovic's 1. Butvilas also had 2 double faults to Lajovic's 7 and won 79 percent of his first-serve points to Lajovic's 63 percent.

Key context

  • Match story: Edas Butvilas closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
21
42
Break points saved·Even
85
87
Break points won·Clear edge
4
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
57
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
43
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Butvilas E.53%
Lajovic D.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1499
Surface ELO
5.7+59 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
52

Butvilas E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw