Alex Rybakov vs Oliver TarvetM25 Roehampton Quarter-final

M25 Roehampton · ITF · Quarter-final
#507ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#380ATP
1490ELO
1460Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
Rybakov A.
2-6 6-3 1-6
Tarvet O.
Rybakov A.
2611
Tarvet O.
6362

Oliver Tarvet advanced to the M25 Roehampton semifinals with a quarterfinal win over Alex Rybakov. Tarvet took the match 6-2, 3-6, 6-1. In the match, Tarvet hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, winning 76 percent of his first serves and converting 50 percent of his break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Oliver Tarvet closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
67%
80%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
45%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
71%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
78%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
9.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Rybakov A.15%
Tarvet O.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tarvet O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1310
Surface ELO
6.9+150 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1490
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.03 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
88

Rybakov A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Tarvet O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw