Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur RinderknechMontreal Round of 32

Montreal · ATP · Round of 32
#23ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWWW
0 — 1
Sets
Retired
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWL
Tiafoe F.
2-6 0-2
Rinderknech A.
Tiafoe F.
200
Rinderknech A.
621

Arthur Rinderknech advanced to the next round in Montreal with a win over Frances Tiafoe in the Round of 32. Tiafoe retired during the match, trailing 6-2, 2-0. Rinderknech converted three of 12 break points and won 94 percent of his first-serve points.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardFrances Tiafoe7-6 6-3 4-6 6-7 6-3
2024-05-20LyonR16clayArthur Rinderknech7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
33%
Break points saved·Even
68%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
12.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
47
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Dominant
45
2
Deciding sets·Even
86
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
32

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Tiafoe F.68%
Rinderknech A.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tiafoe F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+114 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1748
6.7Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1780
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
68

Tiafoe F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Rinderknech A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw