Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia PotapovaToronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#25WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLW
Svitolina E.
6-1 6-1
Potapova A.
Svitolina E.
662
Potapova A.
110

Elina Svitolina defeated Anastasia Potapova in the Round of 32 of the Toronto tournament, winning 6-1, 6-1 on hard courts. Svitolina converted 50% of her break points and won 74% of her first-serve points, while Potapova was unable to capitalize on any of her break point opportunities. Svitolina secured five service breaks in the match, compared to none for Potapova.

Around the match

  • Svitolina survives a dramatic comeback win after trailing by a set and 3-1, showing resilience in a 2h47m opener.

    Svitolina E.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-28MonterreyR32hardElina Svitolina6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
64
Break points saved·Dominant
83
49
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Svitolina E.67%
Potapova A.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svitolina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+193 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1804
7.1Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1904
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
90

Svitolina E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw