Elmer Moller vs Carlos TabernerHagen Quarter-final

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#172ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$155kYTD
$727kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
clay
SPARKASSEN PREMIUM COURT · 3rd on
#381ATP
1610ELO
1605Clay ELO
$102kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLW
Moller E.
7-6 7-5
Taberner C.
Moller E.
772
Taberner C.
650

Elmer Moller defeated Carlos Taberner in the quarterfinals of the Hagen tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 7-5. Moller and Taberner tied with 2 aces and 4 double faults each. Moller converted 29% of break points and Taberner converted 43%, but Moller secured 4 service breaks to Taberner's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
36%
Service points won·Even
54%
51%
Return points won·Clear edge
39%
25%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
38%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
6.4
7.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
69
41
Break points saved·Dominant
81
49
Break points won·Even
58
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Moller E.59%
Taberner C.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Moller E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1593
Surface ELO
5.1+12 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1610
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
80

Moller E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Taberner C.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw