Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshi — Istanbul 2 Quarter-final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Lucas Poullain
FRA
Lucas Poullain
#369ATP
1295ELO
1286Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
JPNQ
Kenta Miyoshi
#495ATP
1476ELO
1447Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Poullain L.
6-7 6-1 6-4
Miyoshi K.
Poullain L.
6662
Miyoshi K.
7141

Lucas Poullain defeated Kenta Miyoshi in the quarterfinals of the Istanbul 2 hard court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 in favor of Poullain.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Poullain L.Miyoshi K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Poullain L.56%
Miyoshi K.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Poullain L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Miyoshi K.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1286
Surface ELO
7.0+161 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1295
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.09 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Poullain L.Miyoshi K.
Freshness·Clear edge
72
59

Poullain L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Miyoshi K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw