Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke MitsuiM15 Astana 2 Round of 16

M15 Astana 2 · ITF · Round of 16
#819ATP
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#648ATP
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Yamanaka T.
5-7 5-7
Mitsui S.
Yamanaka T.
550
Mitsui S.
772

Shunsuke Mitsui defeated Taiyo Yamanaka 7-5, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Astana 2 hard court tournament. Mitsui hit 6 aces and converted 29% of break points, while Yamanaka converted none. Mitsui won 77% of first-serve points and broke Yamanaka's serve twice en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Yamanaka T.32%
Mitsui S.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mitsui S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Mitsui S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw