Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dusan LajovicLexington Quarter-final

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#253ATP
1442ELO
1448Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 1 · 1st on
#146ATP
1620ELO
1559Hard ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLLL
Shelbayh A.
6-7 6-2 4-6
Lajovic D.
Shelbayh A.
6641
Lajovic D.
7262

Dusan Lajovic defeated Abedallah Shelbayh in the Lexington quarterfinals, winning 7-6, 2-6, 6-4. Lajovic hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, while Shelbayh had 2 aces and 2 double faults. Lajovic converted 75% of his break points and won 75% of his first-serve points, compared to Shelbayh's 40% break point conversion and 71% first-serve win percentage; Lajovic had 3 service breaks to Shelbayh's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Dusan Lajovic closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
36
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
87
Break points won·Clear edge
31
18
Deciding sets·Even
54
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
22
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Shelbayh A.55%
Lajovic D.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1448
Surface ELO
6.4+111 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
52

Shelbayh A.: played today · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw