Spencer Johnson vs Andres MartinLexington Quarter-final

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#445ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 2 · 2nd on
#320ATP
1337ELO
1332Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
Johnson S.
4-6 7-6 6-3
Martin A.
Johnson S.
4762
Martin A.
6631

Spencer Johnson defeated Andres Martin in the Lexington quarterfinals, coming back from a set down to win 4-6, 7-6, 6-3. Johnson served eight aces to Martin's three and won 71 percent of his first serves, while Martin converted 57 percent of his break points. Johnson won five service breaks to Martin's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Johnson S.49%
Martin A.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.8Won 81% in Usa (52)
Country comfort
6.3Won 71% in Usa (56)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
57

Johnson S.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Martin A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw