Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya IvashkaGrodzisk Mazowiecki Quarter-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#150ATP
1577ELO
1519Hard ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#374ATP
1538ELO
1509Hard ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWW
Schwaerzler J.
7-6 6-4
Ivashka I.
Schwaerzler J.
762
Ivashka I.
640

Joel Schwaerzler advanced to the semifinals of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki quarterfinals by defeating Ilya Ivashka with a score of 7-6, 6-4. Schwaerzler hit 10 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Ivashka had 5 aces and 5 double faults. Schwaerzler converted 43% of his break points and secured 3 service breaks, compared to Ivashka's 22% conversion rate and 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.5
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
33
Break points saved·Even
89
87
Break points won·Dominant
4
54
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
30
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Schwaerzler J.43%
Ivashka I.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+10 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1509
5.5Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
67
98

Schwaerzler J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Ivashka I.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw