Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Hubert HurkaczMontreal Round of 32

Montreal · ATP · Round of 32
#59ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
ROGERS COURT · 2nd on
#69ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-6 7-6 7-5
Hurkacz H.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3772
Hurkacz H.
6651

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the Round of 32 of the Montreal tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 in favor of Van De Zandschulp. Both players secured 3 service breaks each, with Van De Zandschulp recording 4 aces and 5 double faults, compared to Hurkacz's 10 aces and 10 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayBotic Van De Zandschulp6-7 6-7 6-2 6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
14.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
69
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Dominant
51
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Van De Zandschulp B.35%
Hurkacz H.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hurkacz H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1710
Surface ELO
5.2+16 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1798
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
69

Van De Zandschulp B.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Hurkacz H.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw