Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieri — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Quarter-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
ITA8
Michele Ribecai
#260ATP
1373ELO
1289Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
ITA4
Andrea Guerrieri
#189ATP
1545ELO
1393Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Ribecai M.
6-4 5-7 2-6
Guerrieri A.
Ribecai M.
6521
Guerrieri A.
4762

Andrea Guerrieri advanced to the semifinals of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki tournament, defeating Michele Ribecai in the quarterfinals. Guerrieri won 4-6, 7-5, 5-2. In the match, Guerrieri hit 9 aces and 7 double faults, while Ribecai had 2 aces and 9 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Ribecai M.48%
Guerrieri A.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ribecai M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Guerrieri A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1289
Surface ELO
6.3+105 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1373
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1545
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.
Freshness·Dominant
95
54

Ribecai M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Guerrieri A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw