Maria Sakkari vs Coco Gauff — Toronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
Maria Sakkari
GRE29
Maria Sakkari
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
Coco Gauff
USA4
Coco Gauff
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWW
Sakkari M.
1-6 4-6
Gauff C.
Sakkari M.
140
Gauff C.
662

Coco Gauff defeated Maria Sakkari in the Round of 32 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-1, 6-4 on hard courts. Gauff hit 5 aces and committed 3 double faults, while converting 56% of break points and winning 75% of first-serve points. Gauff broke Sakkari's serve 5 times and saved her own serve 2 times less often than Sakkari.

Around the match

  • “Towards the end I wasn't physically feeling my best. I did load so much post-Wimbledon, and the goal is to peak at US Open, so I know maybe this first week I'm not going to be feeling like a hundred percent.”

    Gauff C.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I understand the reasoning behind it. I do think that this kind of conversation has created a lot of animosity towards the trans community, which I'm not really a big fan of, but I also understand the need to protect fairness in sport.”

    Gauff C.Toronto Sun ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

5–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05United CupQFhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-2
2025-03-22MiamiR32hardCoco Gauff6-2 6-4
2025-03-05Indian WellsR32hardCoco Gauff7-6 6-2
2024-03-06Indian WellsSFhardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-7 6-2
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardCoco Gauff6-2 6-4
2023-07-31WashingtonFhardCoco Gauff6-2 6-3
2022-05-09RomeR16clayMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2022-02-21DohaQFhardMaria Sakkari6-3 6-3
2021-05-10RomeR32clayCoco Gauff6-1 1-6 6-1
2021-01-06Abu DhabiR32hardMaria Sakkari7-5 6-2
2020-08-24CincinnatiR64hardMaria Sakkari6-1 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Sakkari M.Gauff C.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakkari M.Gauff C.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
94
Break points saved·Even
78
81
Break points won·Slight edge
91
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Sakkari M.20%
Gauff C.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gauff C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakkari M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Gauff C.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
8.0+239 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2071
2.6Trails 1–4 on hard
H2H
7.4Leads 4–1 on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakkari M.Gauff C.
Freshness·Even
66
69

Sakkari M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw