Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinka — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Quarter-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Alexander Donski
BULQ
Alexander Donski
#502ATP
1428ELO
1443Hard ELO
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 12 · 1st on
EST2
Daniil Glinka
#160ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
$131kYTD
$268kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLL
Donski A.
6-7 4-6
Glinka D.
Donski A.
640
Glinka D.
762

Daniil Glinka defeated Alexander Donski 7-6, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. Glinka served eight aces and committed one double fault, while Donski served 13 aces and made five double faults. Glinka converted one of two break points and won one service break to Donski's none.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Donski A.Glinka D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
52%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Donski A.28%
Glinka D.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Glinka D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Donski A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Glinka D.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1443
Surface ELO
5.6+48 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1428
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.09 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Donski A.Glinka D.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
90

Donski A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Glinka D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw