Ella Mcdonald vs Paula CembranosW35 Roehampton Quarter-final

W35 Roehampton · ITF · Quarter-final
#521WTA
1434ELO
1266Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#864WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWL
Mcdonald E.
6-0 6-1
Cembranos P.
Mcdonald E.
662
Cembranos P.
010

Ella Mcdonald defeated Paula Cembranos 6-0, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the W35 Roehampton tournament. Mcdonald served 2 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Cembranos had no aces and 6 double faults. Mcdonald won 75% of her first serves and converted 56% of her break points, breaking Cembranos' serve 5 times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Even
55%
51%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
0.1
Double faults / match·Even
5.8
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Mcdonald E.66%
Cembranos P.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mcdonald E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
21°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw