Vittoria Paganetti vs Arina BulatovaW15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Quarter-final

W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 · ITF · Quarter-final
#507WTA
1225ELO
1198Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
clay
#573WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Paganetti V.
6-4 6-2
Bulatova A.
Paganetti V.
662
Bulatova A.
420

Vittoria Paganetti defeated Arina Bulatova 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12. Paganetti served 3 aces to Bulatova's 0 and won 77% of her first-serve points to Bulatova's 61%. Paganetti converted 62% of her break points, while Bulatova converted 67%, as Paganetti won 5 service breaks to Bulatova's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
36%
38%
Service points won·Even
48%
50%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
43%
52%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
6.4
6.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Paganetti V.56%
Bulatova A.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw