Adrian Andreev vs Petr NesterovPlovdiv 2 Quarter-final

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#841ATP
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#301ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Andreev A.
4-6 1-6
Nesterov P.
Andreev A.
410
Nesterov P.
662

Petr Nesterov defeated Adrian Andreev in the quarterfinals of the Plovdiv 2 tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-1. Nesterov hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Andreev had 0 aces and 3 double faults. Nesterov won 89% of his first-serve points and converted 67% of his break points, securing 4 service breaks to Andreev's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
50%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Andreev A.35%
Nesterov P.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nesterov P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
91

Andreev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nesterov P.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 22%

Draw