Rina Saigo vs Celia Cervino RuizW75 Ourense Round of 16

W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 16
#274WTA
1307ELO
1293Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#683WTA
1218ELO
1219Hard ELO
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWW
Saigo R.
6-7 6-2 7-6
Cervino Ruiz C.
Saigo R.
6672
Cervino Ruiz C.
7261

Rina Saigo defeated Celia Cervino Ruiz in the Round of 16 at the W75 Ourense tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 in favor of Saigo. Saigo hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 62% of her first serves and converting 88% of break points, ultimately securing 7 service breaks to Cervino Ruiz's 5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
51%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
44%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Saigo R.78%
Cervino Ruiz C.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Saigo R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+74 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1219
6.1Overall Elo 1307
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1218
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw