Learner Tien vs Gael Monfils — Montreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
Learner Tien
USA12
Learner Tien
#12ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
Gael Monfils
FRAWC
Gael Monfils
#305ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLW
Tien L.
6-3 0-6 6-3
Monfils G.
Tien L.
6062
Monfils G.
3631

Learner Tien defeated Gael Monfils 6-3, 0-6, 6-3 in the Round of 64 at the Montreal hard-court tournament. Both players hit three aces and had four service breaks, with Tien converting 40% of break points and Monfils converting 31%. Tien and Monfils also had identical numbers of double faults (5-6), and first-serve win percentages (62-66).

Around the match

  • “One last chapter, not on the couch”

    Monfils G.ATP Tour ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Learner Tien closed it out in three sets, 6–3 0–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tien L.Monfils G.
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tien L.Monfils G.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
86
Break points saved·Even
92
96
Break points won·Slight edge
88
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
89
Tiebreaks·Even
100
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Tien L.81%
Monfils G.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tien L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tien L.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Monfils G.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1784
6.7Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1803
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.93 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tien L.Monfils G.
Freshness·Clear edge
72
84

Tien L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Monfils G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw