Rei Sakamoto vs Michael MmohLexington Round of 16

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#165ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$235kYTD
$494kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 1 · 2nd on
#180ATP
1613ELO
1599Hard ELO
$87kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
Sakamoto R.
6-4 6-4
Mmoh M.
Sakamoto R.
662
Mmoh M.
440

Rei Sakamoto advanced to the quarterfinals of the Lexington hard-court tournament with a 6-4, 6-4 victory over Michael Mmoh in the Round of 16. Sakamoto converted 40% of his break points and secured four service breaks to Mmoh's two. Mmoh hit eight aces but also committed 10 double faults in the match.

Key context

  • Match story: Rei Sakamoto edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
43%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Even
6.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
49
49
Break points saved·Even
87
84
Break points won·Clear edge
8
28
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Sakamoto R.51%
Mmoh M.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1589
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1608
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1613
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
5.1Won 52% in Usa (25)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
92

Sakamoto R.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d) · Mmoh M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw