Y. Tanaka vs Shunsuke MitsuiM15 Astana 2 Round of 32

M15 Astana 2 · ITF · Round of 32
#1967ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#648ATP
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Tanaka Y.
6-7 3-6
Mitsui S.
Tanaka Y.
630
Mitsui S.
762

Shunsuke Mitsui defeated Y. Tanaka in the Round of 32 of the M15 Astana 2 tournament, winning 7-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Mitsui hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Tanaka had 0 aces and 2 double faults. Mitsui converted 30% of break points and broke Tanaka's serve 3 times, compared to Tanaka's 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
56%
1st serve points won·
78%
2nd serve points won·
55%
Service points won·
68%
Return points won·
35%
Break points saved·
63%
Aces / match·
4.8
Double faults / match·
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Tanaka Y.18%
Mitsui S.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mitsui S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Mitsui S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw