Lui Maxted vs Marcus WaltersM25 Roehampton Round of 16

M25 Roehampton · ITF · Round of 16
#403ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#966ATP
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Maxted L.
6-2 6-7 6-2
Walters M.
Maxted L.
6662
Walters M.
2721

Lui Maxted defeated Marcus Walters 6-2, 6-7, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Roehampton tournament. Maxted converted 40% of his break points, compared to Walters' 20%, and won six service breaks to Walters' two. Maxted hit three aces and two double faults, while Walters had four aces and four double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Lui Maxted closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
52%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Maxted L.32%
Walters M.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Walters M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
77

Maxted L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Walters M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw