Viktorija Golubic vs Iga SwiatekToronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
#52WTA
1775ELO
1720Hard ELO
$652kYTD
$5.5MCAREER
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#5WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Golubic V.
2-6 1-6
Swiatek I.
Golubic V.
210
Swiatek I.
662

Iga Swiatek defeated Viktorija Golubic in the Round of 32 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-2, 6-1 on hard courts. Swiatek hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, winning 79% of her first-serve points and converting 56% of break points. Golubic had 1 double fault and converted 100% of her break points, but was limited to just 1 service break.

Around the match

  • For sure it was a good match, and a good start of the hard-court season. I'm happy with the level. The first set I was playing with a lot of confidence and very straightforward.

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis
  • For sure it was a good day, and I'm really happy with the way I played. Even though the first game wasn't super smooth, I knew I can start from the beginning, and then it went my way and I could find my rhythm.

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-21MiamiR64hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-0
2022-02-21DohaR32hardIga Swiatek6-2 3-6 6-2
2019-07-01WimbledonR128grassViktorija Golubic6-2 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
61%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
22
97
Break points saved·Dominant
8
87
Break points won·Slight edge
90
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
32
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Golubic V.17%
Swiatek I.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Hard Elo 1720
Surface ELO
8.8+302 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 2064
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
63

Golubic V.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw