Alibek Kachmazov vs Sora Fukuda — M15 Astana 2 Round of 32

M15 Astana 2 · ITF · Round of 32
RUS
Alibek Kachmazov
#835ATP
1490ELO
1467Hard ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
JPN
Sora Fukuda
#775ATP
28 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
Kachmazov A.
4-6 6-1 7-6
Fukuda S.
Kachmazov A.
4672
Fukuda S.
6161

Alibek Kachmazov defeated Sora Fukuda in the Round of 32 at the M15 Astana 2 hard court tournament. Kachmazov won 4-6, 6-1, 7-6. He hit 17 aces to Fukuda's 3 and converted 50% of break points, securing 3 service breaks to Fukuda's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kachmazov A.Fukuda S.
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
41%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Kachmazov A.38%
Fukuda S.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Fukuda S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kachmazov A.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Fukuda S.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.42 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kachmazov A.Fukuda S.
Freshness·
94
—

Kachmazov A.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw