Spencer Johnson vs Jay Dylan Hara FriendLexington Round of 16

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#445ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 2 · 4th on
#315ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLLL
Johnson S.
6-3 6-0
Dylan Hara Friend J.
Johnson S.
662
Dylan Hara Friend J.
300

Spencer Johnson defeated Jay Dylan Hara Friend in the Round of 16 at the Lexington tournament, winning 6-3, 6-0 on hard courts. Johnson converted 44% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while his opponent did not manage to break his serve. Johnson hit five aces and three double faults, compared to six aces and six double faults by Jay Dylan Hara Friend.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Johnson S.34%
Dylan Hara Friend J.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dylan Hara Friend J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.8Won 80% in Usa (51)
Country comfort
6.9Won 82% in Usa (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
99

Johnson S.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Dylan Hara Friend J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw