Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils — Montreal Round of 32

Montreal · ATP · Round of 32
Mariano Navone
ARG
Mariano Navone
#44ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
Arthur Fils
FRA18
Arthur Fils
#21ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLL
Navone M.
3-6 2-6
Fils A.
Navone M.
320
Fils A.
662

Arthur Fils defeated Mariano Navone in the Round of 32 of the Montreal tournament on hard courts, prevailing 6-3, 6-2. Fils recorded 4 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 43% of break points and securing 3 service breaks. Navone had 1 ace and 2 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Navone M.Fils A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Navone M.Fils A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
49
82
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
96
Break points won·Dominant
88
54
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Navone M.18%
Fils A.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fils A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Navone M.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Fils A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1693
Surface ELO
8.0+237 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 2001
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Navone M.Fils A.
Freshness·Clear edge
81
57

Navone M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Fils A.: played today · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw