Renata Zarazua vs Leylah FernandezToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#73WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#31WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$906kYTD
$8.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWL
Zarazua R.
2-6 2-6
Fernandez L.
Zarazua R.
220
Fernandez L.
662

Leylah Fernandez defeated Renata Zarazua in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-2, 6-2 on hard courts. Fernandez hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, winning 68% of her first serves and converting 83% of break points. She converted 5 service breaks to Zarazua's 1.

Around the match

  • Canadian arrives well-rested as defending Washington champion, seeking to recover ranking points at home.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-02-24AcapulcoSFhardLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
14
80
Break points saved·Dominant
9
77
Break points won·Slight edge
79
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Zarazua R.30%
Fernandez L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fernandez L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1639
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1663
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1805
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
81

Zarazua R.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw