Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik — Montreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64

GBRQ

Jacob Fearnley

#107ATP

1600ELO

1565Hard ELO

$342kYTD

$1.8MCAREER

25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWWWWW

1 — 2

Sets

Thursday, 6 August 2026 · 18:10

hard

COURT 2 · 5th on

CZE13

Jakub Mensik

#16ATP

1931ELO

1893Hard ELO

$2.0MYTD

$6.9MCAREER

20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWLWLWL

Fearnley J.

3-6 6-3 3-6

Mensik J.

Fearnley J.

3631

Mensik J.

6362

Jakub Mensik defeated Jacob Fearnley in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Mensik hit 9 aces to Fearnley's 5 and converted 44% of break points to Fearnley's 33%. The win advanced Mensik in the tournament.

Key context

Match story: Jakub Mensik closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Fearnley J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Mensik J.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Serve advantage — Mensik J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fearnley J.Mensik J.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Fearnley J.Mensik J.

1st serve in·Even

62%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

69%

78%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

48%

Service points won·Slight edge

60%

67%

Return points won·Even

38%

36%

Break points saved·Slight edge

55%

64%

Aces / match·Dominant

5.9

11.4

Double faults / match·Dominant

5.8

3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Fearnley J.Mensik J.

Clutch Rating·Even

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Clear edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC

Fearnley J.19%

Mensik J.81%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mensik J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Fearnley J.

4.4

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Mensik J.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

0.9Hard Elo 1565

Surface ELO

9.1+328 Hard Elo edge

0.9Overall Elo 1600

ELO gap

9.1Overall Elo 1931

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.86 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.85 of last 10 on hard

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

Opponent rise

2.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Fearnley J.Mensik J.

Freshness·Dominant

Fearnley J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Mensik J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather

27°CClear

Wind 5 km/hHumidity 59%

Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik — Montreal Round of 64

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard