Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhard — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 16

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Damir Dzumhur
BIH1
Damir Dzumhur
#104ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$538kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
FRA
Mathys Erhard
#337ATP
1382ELO
1348Hard ELO
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
Dzumhur D.
3-6 6-7
Erhard M.
Dzumhur D.
360
Erhard M.
672

Mathys Erhard defeated Damir Dzumhur in the Round of 16 at the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. Erhard won in straight sets, 6-3, 7-6. He hit 10 aces to Dzumhur's 3 and converted 40% of his break points, taking 2 service breaks to Dzumhur's 0.

Key context

  • Match story: Mathys Erhard closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Dzumhur D.Erhard M.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dzumhur D.Erhard M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
23
Break points saved·Even
70
73
Break points won·Dominant
75
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
75
37
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Dzumhur D.52%
Erhard M.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dzumhur D.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Erhard M.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+247 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1348
8.2Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1382
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dzumhur D.Erhard M.
Freshness·Slight edge
96
88

Dzumhur D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Erhard M.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw