M. Dussault vs Maxwell Exsted — M25 Southaven Round of 16

M25 Southaven · ITF · Round of 16
USA
M. Dussault
#1396ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
USA
Maxwell Exsted
#962ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWLW
Dussault M.
6-2 6-1
Exsted M.
Dussault M.
662
Exsted M.
210

Maxime Dussault advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 Southaven tournament with a straight-sets victory over Maxwell Exsted in the Round of 16. Dussault won 6-2, 6-1, dominating the match with 5 aces and converting 67% of break points. He secured 4 service breaks en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Dussault M.Exsted M.
1st serve in·
—
74%
1st serve points won·
—
65%
2nd serve points won·
—
62%
Service points won·
—
64%
Return points won·
—
38%
Break points saved·
—
63%
Aces / match·
—
1.0
Double faults / match·
—
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Dussault M.38%
Exsted M.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Exsted M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dussault M.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Exsted M.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.9Won 48% in Usa (25)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw