Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz DougazGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 16

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#150ATP
1577ELO
1519Hard ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 12 · 1st on
#629ATP
1390ELO
1374Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Schwaerzler J.
7-6 3-6 7-6
Dougaz A.
Schwaerzler J.
7372
Dougaz A.
6661

Joel Schwaerzler defeated Aziz Dougaz in the Round of 16 at the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 in favor of Schwaerzler. Schwaerzler hit 9 aces and 5 double faults, winning 80% of his first serves, while converting 0% of break points and not achieving any service breaks; Dougaz had 12 aces, 4 double faults, 89% first-serve win percentage, 40% break points converted, and 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
33%
Break points saved·Even
69%
69%
Aces / match·Even
6.5
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
8
Break points saved·Even
89
86
Break points won·Even
4
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
2
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Schwaerzler J.37%
Dougaz A.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dougaz A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+145 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1374
7.3Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1390
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
54

Schwaerzler J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Dougaz A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw