Marcello Serafini vs Gabriele CrivellaroM25 Fano Quarter-final

M25 Fano · ITF · Quarter-final
#1195ATP
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
clay
#1228ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWLW
Serafini M.
6-3 6-2
Crivellaro G.
Serafini M.
662
Crivellaro G.
320

Marcello Serafini defeated Gabriele Crivellaro 6-3, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Fano tournament on clay. Serafini hit one ace and one double fault, while Crivellaro had three aces and no double faults. Serafini won 72% of his first-serve points and converted 45% of his break points, compared to 46% and 50% for Crivellaro, as Serafini secured five service breaks to Crivellaro's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
39%
38%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
49%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
43%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Serafini M.69%
Crivellaro G.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Serafini M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Crivellaro G.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw