Sorana Cirstea vs Maya JointToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#19WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#67WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLW
Cirstea S.
4-6 4-6
Joint M.
Cirstea S.
440
Joint M.
662

Maya Joint defeated Sorana Cirstea in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4 on hard courts. Joint converted 62% of her break points, securing five service breaks, while Cirstea managed three breaks. Joint served one ace and six double faults, compared to Cirstea's six aces and six double faults.

Around the match

  • Withdrew from her home tournament (Iasi) due to an abdominal injury sustained at Wimbledon.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Maya Joint edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR128hardSorana Cirstea6-2 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
68%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
68
77
Break points saved·Dominant
33
76
Break points won·Slight edge
93
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
77
Tiebreaks·
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Cirstea S.74%
Joint M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cirstea S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+257 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1657
8.7Overall Elo 1956
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1659
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.94 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
85

Cirstea S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Joint M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw