Mona Barthel vs Elizara YanevaWarsaw Quarter-final

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#208WTA
1551ELO
1533Hard ELO
36 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
#170WTA
1549ELO
1550Hard ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
Barthel M.
4-6 6-2 6-7
Yaneva E.
Barthel M.
4661
Yaneva E.
6272

Elizara Yaneva defeated Mona Barthel in the quarterfinals of the Warsaw hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 2-6, 7-6. Yaneva hit 7 aces and 5 double faults, while Barthel had 6 aces and 8 double faults. Yaneva converted 37% of break points and won 7 service breaks, compared to Barthel's 40% conversion rate and 8 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Elizara Yaneva closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.5
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Barthel M.46%
Yaneva E.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1533
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1551
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
95

Barthel M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Yaneva E.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw