Karen Khachanov vs Terence AtmaneMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#39ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 4th on
#45ATP
1704ELO
1674Hard ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
Khachanov K.
4-6 6-7
Atmane T.
Khachanov K.
460
Atmane T.
672

Terence Atmane defeated Karen Khachanov 6-4, 7-6 in the Round of 64 at the Montreal hard-court tournament. Atmane served seven aces to Khachanov's five and converted two service breaks to his opponent's one. He won 78 percent of his first-serve points to Khachanov's 81 percent and converted 29 percent of his break points to Khachanov's 33 percent.

Around the match

  • Atmane defeated Jack Draper 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 in the first round after Draper's chronic elbow injury flared up mid-match.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
30%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Even
8.5
8.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
81
40
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
88
Break points won·Dominant
81
23
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
39
Tiebreaks·Even
83
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Khachanov K.64%
Atmane T.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Khachanov K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1674
6.6Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1704
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
74

Khachanov K.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Atmane T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw