Ilia Simakin vs Fajing Sun — Istanbul 2 Round of 16

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
RUS7
Ilia Simakin
#267ATP
1463ELO
1505Hard ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT A · 2nd on
CHN
Fajing Sun
#324ATP
1496ELO
1473Hard ELO
$32kYTD
$490kCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLL
Simakin I.
6-3 7-6
Sun F.
Simakin I.
6772
Sun F.
3640

Ilia Simakin defeated Fajing Sun in the Round of 16 at the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6 in Simakin's favor.

Key context

  • Match story: Ilia Simakin closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Simakin I.Sun F.
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Simakin I.Sun F.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
65
Break points won·Clear edge
26
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
8
Tiebreaks·Dominant
70
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Simakin I.58%
Sun F.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Simakin I.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Sun F.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+31 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1473
4.6Overall Elo 1463
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1496
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Simakin I.Sun F.
Freshness·Slight edge
87
77

Simakin I.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Sun F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw