Panna Udvardy vs Naomi Osaka — Toronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
Panna Udvardy
HUN
Panna Udvardy
#77WTA
1681ELO
1577Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Naomi Osaka
JPN11
Naomi Osaka
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Udvardy P.
2-6 4-6
Osaka N.
Udvardy P.
240
Osaka N.
662

Naomi Osaka defeated Panna Udvardy 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 64 at the Toronto hard-court tournament. Osaka hit 10 aces and won 83% of her first-serve points, converting 67% of her break points to secure the win. Udvardy was unable to capitalize on her own break opportunities, converting only 33% of her chances.

Around the match

  • “I did better than last year in DC, so I'm just hoping to keep the ball rolling. I haven't historically played super, super well here, so I'm just hoping to change that this year.”

    Osaka N.Inquirer.net ↗

  • “I would just hope to gain a lot of confidence leading into New York. I lost my last match, but it's helped me figure out what I want to do exactly, or how I want to take my tennis.”

    Osaka N.Inquirer.net ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Udvardy P.Osaka N.
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Udvardy P.Osaka N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
6
93
Break points saved·Dominant
4
85
Break points won·Dominant
63
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
97
Tiebreaks·
—
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Udvardy P.14%
Osaka N.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Osaka N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Udvardy P.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Osaka N.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Hard Elo 1577
Surface ELO
9.3+345 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1987
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.33 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Udvardy P.Osaka N.
Freshness·Even
89
87

Udvardy P.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw