Nicolas Oliveira vs Carlos Maria ZarateM25 Londrina Round of 16

M25 Londrina · ITF · Round of 16
#821ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
#394ATP
1200ELO
1187Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Oliveira N.
2-6 2-6
Maria Zarate C.
Oliveira N.
220
Maria Zarate C.
662

Carlos Maria Zarate defeated Nicolas Oliveira 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Londrina tournament on clay. Zarate converted 45% of his break points and won 73% of his first-serve points. He secured five service breaks to Oliveira's one, and both players hit one ace, with Zarate committing one double fault to Oliveira's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Dominant
25%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Oliveira N.24%
Maria Zarate C.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Maria Zarate C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.22 of last 5 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 96%

Draw