Carl Emil Overbeck vs Gabriele Maria NoceM25 Fano Round of 16

M25 Fano · ITF · Round of 16
#323ATP
1293ELO
1257Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
#826ATP
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLLW
Emil Overbeck C.
7-6 6-3
Maria Noce G.
Emil Overbeck C.
7762
Maria Noce G.
6430

Carl Emil Overbeck defeated Gabriele Maria Noce 7-6, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Fano tournament on clay. Overbeck hit 11 aces to Noce's 5 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Noce's 20%. Overbeck won 3 service breaks to Noce's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Emil Overbeck C.80%
Maria Noce G.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Emil Overbeck C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.31 of last 9 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Maria Noce G.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw